Can a formula predict the outcome of a soccer match?

[Richazey]

There are two many unknowns and as its a sport no one can ever know what is going to happen.

[Theboss]

Well a lot of em can be neglected and as the article states, they are predicting the goal difference not the outcome itsself.
I believe that this is possible to do as basically everything has a chance of happening and all you need to do is find out what has the biggest chance at that moment.

[Zero]

Surely though, the unknowns aren't really that unknown, they are just added complications and the chances of them occurring or whatever just have to be factored in.

[Theboss]

Yea, but the same goes for the weather
Anything can happen and they often are wrong, this is similar.
It would be less reliable but change the odds enough to have a larger chance of guessing right?

[Zero]

But how much effort to they put into the weather forecasting?

They get away with guessing and following trends.

[Theboss]

Well a lot of people call it their job to forcast it
so there must be some reliability.